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Pattern formations with entry and exit points in Betfair graphs
Trading - Betfair Trading
Saturday, 04 April 2009 08:13

Candlesticks in Betfair Charts Technical AnalysisWe already talked about support and resistance levels and trendlines when applying technical analysis in Betfair graphs. Pattern formations though are literally hundreds in technical analysis. Given the fact that Betfair graphs don't provide the necessary detail like stock charts, a thorough study of formations and technical analysis isn't needed apart from basic terms. Despite that, we need to know and recognize a couple of pattern formations since they are often in Betfair's horse racing betting graphs.

To begin with, we'll quickly take a look of a betfair graph where the trend is constant and is never interrupted prior the start of the horse race. We can also notice a trend acceleration seconds before the official start time of the race, mainly due to traders closing their open positions and bettors who have waited until the last moment to verify the crowd's general belief. Besides it is the last chance for someone to bet. Some bettors don't want to reveal their bets too early. Of course in the given example, the odds might have seemed too low for their taste in the end.

Trending Betfair Graph Pattern Formation

Moving on and without diverging a lot from the previous example, I have drawn a couple of lines in the following Betfair graph. If you have been reading my previous articles regarding technical analysis on Betfair graphs, you'll easily point out the support and resistance levels and the trendline as well. In this specific chart, I also drew the uptrend channel with orange lines. I guess it is easily understood how I did that. But I have also included a candlestick formation in this graph highlighted in a circle. That candlestick formation exhibits the layers' last attempt to move the odds even higher but they fail to succeed. It is the last sign of trend's strength which is exhausted at that point (exhaustion bar). That particular formation is a reversal sign of the trend, or at least a sign that the trend has ended and may now enter a ranging channel. If we had laid in the beginning, it would have been a great time now to exit. Afterwards, the inactivity of the odds movement following would be another good signal to exit our trade. And if that wasn't enough to persuade us, the interruption of the main trendline is the last verification sign that the odds are going to fall. And they fall up to the support level as expected.

Exhaustion bar Betfair Graph Pattern Formation

Symmetrical Triangle Chart PatternIn the Betfair graph below we stumble upon one of the most known pattern formations in stock charts. The ascending triangle, that is formed if we connect the highs and lows of the odds, will show us the predicted odds movement. Predicting that movement doesn't seem that hard, since the uptrend side of the triangle sets the trend, while the horizontal triangle's side is the resistance that is about to be broken. Obviously it isn't absolutely sure, but most of the times the scenario is repeated. Additionally, a similar kind of prediction can be made in case the triangle is inverted (descending triangle). There is also one more triangle formation that I need to be mentioning, the so called symmetrical triangle.The odds movement continuously calms down up to the triangle's top. At that occassion the odds movement can be predicted when the price breaks either side, which would mean either a continuation of the trend or a reversal. At the specific example, I have also drawn the trendline that follows (green line), which will signal our trade's exit.

Triangle Betfair Graph Pattern Formation


In the last betfair graph, apart from support and resistance levels, we come up with another very important element of pattern formations in charts. It is about the odds' failed attempt to reach the previous high or low. Pointed out by the arrow, the odds couldn't reach the resistance level for a second time. They tested but failed. It is one more sign that the odds will go lower. Similar chart formations are double up or double bottom, which can be seen when the odds manage to hit the previous high or low respectively. In both situations, the signals are regarded as reversals but you need confirmation from other signals as well. Another similar approach is the so called "knock three times", that is when the odds reach a support or resistance level 3 times. Again that would be a reversal sign.

Failed Top Betfair Graph Pattern Formation

Bet Angel Professional

Generally, a trendline's interruption is the best exit point in our trading strategy, as we saw in the 2nd example. Support and resistance levels should be considered in Betfair graphs more for entry points and for better odds movement prediction. All those chart pattern formations weren't created by luck but they are based on the traders' psychology. We will talk about that in the future.

 
Comments (7)
1 Saturday, 04 April 2009 13:42
takis
Thank you for the train jimmakos.
We need more examples and training in swing trading.
jim
2 Friday, 01 May 2009 18:41
Mark
great alalysis of the graphs. I've been a typical scalper, with mediocre success, but I feel the time has come for a change - thanks for giving a breakdown of the charts - they do seem to fit the way my instincts want to trade... this just confirms what I want....
3 Wednesday, 20 May 2009 22:58
James D
Again, excellent article Jim. Does the advanced charting on BetAngle automatically draw in trendlines, candlesticks, triangles, etc. in real time?
4 Friday, 22 May 2009 15:05
Jimmakos
Thanks for your comments.

BetAngel charting tool can only display candlesticks in a specific period of time. It is up to you to find out any possible trendlines, support or resistance levels or even triangles. It is not that difficult, you get used to it...
5 Friday, 29 May 2009 10:28
Euagelos
Jimmako Είναι σημαντικές τις οδηγίες που μας έδειξες , αλλά δεν είναι αρκετές!
Μιας και είμαι νέος στο χώρο θα σου κάνω ερωτήσεις , που μπορεί για σένα να φαίνονται αστείες !
Ποιες αποδόσεις πιστεύεις ότι έχουν μικρότερο ρίσκο ;
σε ποιο χρόνο πριν την έναρξη να μπαίνουμε , και πότε να βγαίνουμε;
το bet angel είναι καλό πρόγραμμα, η χρειάζομαι κ άλλο;

Σ ευχαριστώ.
6 Tuesday, 18 August 2009 00:00
Outrunred
Great starting point for me....I've always been very re-active with charts...hence a poor success rate when attempting swing trades...Scalping is no longer for me and I've always felt analysis is the way to a successful trade, but where to start? Well it's here...keep up the good work
7 Monday, 24 August 2009 19:01
Jimmakos
Thanks for your comment and nice words! Really appreciate it!

Euaggelos: I think I have answered your questions through email.

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Who is Jimmakos

Jimmakos.comMy name is Jimmakos and I am a professional gambler since 2003. I played at the casinos' blackjack tables for a year and during the following 2.5 years I have been a Betfair trader trading the odds in the UK Horse Racing markets. Nowadays I'm playing online poker. Apart from online gambling, I also write about online poker and trading for the Betfair's Greek Blog and own various websites.

 

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