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 Today I'll
show how we can make use of an excellent article written in 2+2 forums about
finding leaks in our game with the aid of Poker Tracker. It is not necessary to
read the article, since I'll discuss each point separately here accompanied by
my personal statistics. If you do have the application you can check your own
stats in the end or you can simply see how a poker player can improve his
skills by studying himself. My analysis will be based on the hands I played
this year at 6-max No Limit poker tables (233,579 hands).
So, Pokey
(the article's author) starts with:
"Open up
your ring game statistics and go to the "position stats" page. For
each position other than the small blind, divide the "PF Raise %" by
the "Vol. Put $ In Pot." If you get a number smaller than 0.5, you're
not aggressive enough out of that position. See, aggression is a relative term;
it should be a function of your level of looseness. You can be a consistently
winning player at SSNL with a VPIP of 12%, and you can be a consistently
winning player at SSNL with a VPIP of 30%, but only if you are sufficiently
aggressive. My general guideline is that you should raise at least half the
hands you play, from every position on the table."
Upon
checking the tab in my database, we can see that I'm quite aggressive at all
positions but blinds where I still play by the rule, although my aggressiveness
has decreased. That is expected though,
since the Blinds' positions offer no positional advantage to the player.
"To test
this, go to the Position Stats and look down the list of VPIP from Button to
UTG. You should see that VPIP steadily dropping the farther you get from the
button. I'd love to see my button VPIP at double my UTG VPIP, but if my Button
VPIP is at least 50% larger than my UTG VPIP, I'm happy with the situation."
From the
previous image I am able to verify that my VPIP increases significantly towards
the Button where the actual figure is more than double that of UTG's one. No
leak there.
"To check
on your performance when trying a blind steal, go to the General Info. tab.
Where it says "Att. To Steal Blinds" I'd like to see that number at
LEAST 20%. (Personally, I like mine to be over 30%, but I'm very aggressive in
these situations. If you're trying to steal the blinds less than 20% of the
time, you're leaving lots of money on the table.)
Now click
on "Filters..." and under "Chance to Steal Blinds" click
"Chance to Steal & Raised." Select OK and look at the numbers.
This shows every time you've tried to steal the blinds, and how the attempt
turned out for you. Under "Totals" see the "BB/Hand"
statistic. That shows your per-hand winrate on blind steals. If you multiply this
number by 100, it should be at least double your "PTBB/100" average
winrate. If it's much less than that and you have a decent sample size, you
have a hole in your game when it comes to blind stealing. This should be an
exceedingly profitable thing to do when you try it; if it's not, you need to
work on your strategy."
{mosloadposition content2}
No apparent
leaks are found here either. My Att. To Steal Blinds is over 40% (maybe I
overdo it?) while my total BB/Hand multiplied by 100 (=21) is almost 20 times
more than my actual BB/100 (1.27).
"Click on
"Turn Filter Off," and then click on "Filters..." again.
Under "Blind Status" click on "Either Blind." Now under
"Vol. Put $ In Pot" click on "Put Money In." This shows you
if you're bleeding money out of the blinds. A "BB/Hand" of about -0.375
would indicate that you were no better off putting money into the pot than if
you had folded. If your "BB/Hand" is larger than that, then you
typically win back some of your blind money when you put money into the pot
from the blinds. That's all you can really hope for.
If you
click on "Filters..." again and go under "Steal Attempted
Against Your Blind" and click on "Steal Attempted." After you
click "OK" you'll now see how you did when you chose to defend
against a blind steal. Again, the magic number is for your "BB/Hand"
to be bigger than -0.375; that means you're making back some of your blinds
when you try to defend against a steal. If either of these numbers is lower
than -0.375, you'd lose less money by always folding rather than doing what you're
doing."
Now, that
doesn't look a leak to me, does it? While I am defending my blinds against
stealers, I actually manage to show significant profits!
"Click on
"Turn Filter Off," then click on "Filters..." again. Under "Hands With Between...Players
Seeing The Flop" change the range from "0 to 10 players" to "2 to 2 players."
Hit "OK" and see what comes up. This shows you how you've done when you were
heads-up preflop, but a flop was dealt. See how you've done in these
situations.
If things look OK, go back to "Filters..." and
under "Pre-flop Raise" select "No Raise." This will show you how you've done
when you didn't raise preflop, but the hand was heads-up on the flop (this
includes pure limping and when someone ELSE raised preflop, but not when you
were the preflop raiser). Is this number positive? If not, it could be an
indicator that you have trouble when you are not the aggressor preflop,
especially without padding in the pot."
{mosloadposition content1}
Houston, we
have a problem. Both images show mediocre results and the heads-up play is
something I should focus on.
"Clear the
filter and go back under filters. Change "Hands With Between...Players Seeing The
Flop" to "3 to 10 players." This shows you how you do in multiway pots.
If things
look good, go back and select "No Raise" under "Pre-flop Raise." Is it still
positive? If so, you're selecting good times to play/limp multiway pots, and
you're playing them well postflop."
Hmmm, I
can't say I'm doing well in multiway pots either. My postflop game really needs
improvement.
"Under
"Filters..." change the "Type of Hole Cards" to "Pairs." This will show you how
you generally play and perform with pocket pairs. Your Total VPIP with these
should be EXTREMELY high; unless you play at highly unusual tables, I'd be
surprised to see this number below 85%. Pocket pairs make extremely powerful
hands that are extremely well-hidden; if you're not playing them almost all the
time, you're leaving money on the table. Also, your Total PFR% with these hands
should be rather high -- at least 1/3 of your VPIP, if not 1/2. Some people
have this number higher still, and I don't have a problem with that, especially
at short-handed tables. If you have enough hands, I'd expect every one of these
lines to be positive, and reasonably significantly so. If you have any
glaringly negative numbers, especially AA-88, it may indicate bad play. Look
over individual hands where you lose lots of money and see if you played too
timidly early in the hand, or if you went too far unimproved in the face of
resistance. Also, look at the hands where you won to see if you played too
timidly, or if you routinely forced weaker hands out when you should have been
milking them for profits.
I guess I
should take a closer look at 88-TT's hands for any leaks.
"Under
"Filters..." change "Type of Hole Cards" to "Suited Connectors." I'm much less
likely to play suited connectors than pocket pairs, but some people play them
religiously. As a result, I don't really have a good suggestion as to how high
your VPIP or PFR should be. However, your BB/hand should be positive; if it's
not, you're probably not playing your suited connectors well. Remember: these
hands play best in a multiway, unraised pot, or as a steal move.
In the
"Filters..." change "Vol. Put $ In Pot" to "Cold-Called." When you hit OK, you
should have almost no entries to view. Of the times you cold-called, you should
be able to come up with a specific explanation for why you did so in each and
every one of them. Review the hand histories; if you can't come up with a
really good reason why you thought it better to cold-call, rather than raise or
fold, you need to rethink your suited connector strategy. Good explanations:
the raise was very small, villain is passive post-flop, I had position on
villain, villain and I are both extremely deep-stacked, villain is incredibly
aggressive preflop, my suited connectors are particularly strong, there are
several cold-callers in front of me, etc. I'm not saying you shouldn't ever
cold-call with suited connectors; rather, I'm saying you shouldn't
AUTOMATICALLY do so. Your default play here should be to fold weak suited
connectors and reraise strong ones."
{mosloadposition content2}
I'm able to
show positive numbers in both situations although I'm not entirely happy with
the result. Perhaps if someone could share his own numbers as a comment, we
could have a better idea of where I stand.
"Clear the
filter and then go back into it. Change "Type of Hole Cards" to "Off-Suited Connectors."
Your VPIP for these hands should be noticeably smaller than your VPIP for
suited connectors. Check your winrate and make sure it's positive.
Filter for
cold-calling and see if you had good reasons for doing so, keeping in mind that
the reasons need to be even stronger than for suited connectors."
While I'm
breaking even at the first scenario, I'm losing money when I'm cold calling my
off suit connectors. Guess I won't be doing that any more. I'll save 0.63BB per
hand by doing so!
"Select the
"More Detail..." button above the "Filters..." button. Scroll down. There is a
section marked "First Action on Flop After A Pre-flop Raise." This shows your
likelihood of continuation betting. If you add Bet and Raise, the total should
be at least 40%. If it's not, you're probably giving up too soon on your good
hands, and that will cost you money in the long run. Remember: people who
cold-call a preflop bet are often in fit-or-fold mode. If you don't bet, you
don't give them a chance to fold. The pot is already decent-sized, and there's
no reason to give some donk a free look at a turn card that could sink you. If
you raised preflop, you need a good reason NOT to raise the flop. Continuation
betting should be your default play. Scroll down a bit farther to "Aggression
Factor." Your total aggression factor should be at LEAST 2. No-limit is not a
game where you can call frequently and turn a profit. You should always be
looking to see if you can raise or fold; only if you have a good reason why you
CANNOT raise or fold should you call. As a result, calling should be an
infrequent occurrence in your play, which gives you a large aggression factor."
{mosloadposition content1}
I'm
continuation betting about 68% and my total Aggression Factor is 3.90.
"Some
people never check-raise; others check-raise infrequently. I personally like to
check-raise at least once in awhile; 1% would be fine, 0.5% would be
acceptable. The goal of the check-raise is to remind your opponents that just
because you checked does NOT mean that you don't have a hand. However,
circumstances need to be very specific for a check-raise to be appropriate.
Typically, I check-raise on the flop when OOP against a preflop raiser, or on
the turn when OOP against a flop bettor/raiser who was clearly not on a draw
(uncoordinated flop). If you are check raising much more than 2% of the time,
you're being entirely too tricky for a SSNL table, and straightforward play
would probably be more profitable for you."
The
previous image shows that I'm check raising about 1%.
That
completes my first analysis of my poker play. You can do your analysis on your
own statistics if you happen to use Poker Tracker. If you don't, Poker Tracker
version 3.0 has just been launched and is offered with a trial period of 60
days.
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